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Li-Cycle Holdings Corp. (LICY)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarterly revenue of $8.4M (+133% YoY) with materially lower SG&A (-39% YoY) narrowed net loss to $8.2M; however, cost of sales remained well above revenue and cash fell to $57.0M at quarter-end, underscoring near‑term liquidity risk .
  • Strategic focus unchanged: closing the U.S. DOE loan (up to $375M) remains top priority; Rochester Hub MHP scope total project cost held at ~$960M, while “cost to complete” was refined to ~ $490M (from ~$504M in Q1), and Ontario Spoke moves from pause to closure to prioritize Gen‑3 Spokes .
  • Commercial traction improved: ~40% of Q2 feedstock were EV battery packs; four of top five customers were large global EV OEMs; recycling services drove revenue mix gains; Q2 produced ~1,394 tonnes of black mass and sold ~1,158 tonnes .
  • Incremental financing optionality added in/around the quarter: 1‑for‑8 share consolidation to support NYSE compliance and an at‑the‑market equity program of up to $75M; company continues exploring strategic and financing alternatives to bolster liquidity—key catalysts alongside DOE loan documentation and disbursement timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Closing the U.S. DOE loan remains our top priority,” with progress on “key technical, financial and legal workstreams” toward definitive documentation; MHP scope technical work is “now quite advanced” .
    • Execution and mix: record revenue ($8.4M), higher recycling services revenue ($3.2M vs. $0.5M YoY), and SG&A down 39% to $15.3M on restructuring/cost actions .
    • Operational KPIs: ~40% of feedstock were EV packs; black mass production ~1,394 tonnes and sales ~1,158 tonnes; Germany Spoke achieved ISO certifications .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Unit economics remain pressured: total cost of sales ($19.4M) still far exceeds revenue ($8.4M); adjusted EBITDA loss improved but remained sizeable at $(23.4)M .
    • Liquidity draw: cash and equivalents fell to $57.0M (from $109.1M in Q1), with Q2 operating cash outflow of $(37.3)M; management is “exploring financing and strategic alternatives” .
    • Network rationalization signals constraints: Ontario Spoke is transitioning from pause to closure to focus on Gen‑3 Spokes; Rochester Hub still requires DOE loan plus additional base equity before drawdowns .

Financial Results

Metric ($USD)Q2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$3.6 $4.2 $8.4
Product Revenue ($M)$3.1 $1.9 $5.2
Recycling Service Revenue ($M)$0.5 $2.3 $3.2
Total Cost of Sales ($M)$20.2 $16.8 $19.4
SG&A ($M)$24.9 $31.7 $15.3
Other Income (Expense) ($M)$10.9 $(92.5) $18.7
Net Loss ($M)$(31.9) $(136.7) $(8.2)
Adjusted EBITDA Loss ($M)$(41.3) $(27.4) $(23.4)
Loss per Share (basic/diluted)$(1.45) $(0.76) $(0.36)

Notes: On June 3, 2024, Li‑Cycle completed a 1‑for‑8 share consolidation to support NYSE compliance; outstanding and per‑share figures reflect reporting at the time and may not be retroactively restated in prior periods .

By revenue stream (mix and YoY):

Revenue Stream ($USD)Q2 2023Q2 2024YoY Change
Product Revenue$3.1M $5.2M +$2.1M
Recycling Service Revenue$0.5M $3.2M +$2.7M

KPIs and balance sheet highlights:

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024
Black mass produced (tonnes)~1,394
Black mass and equivalents sold (tonnes)946 1,158
EV battery packs as % of feedstock~41% ~40%
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$109.1 $57.0
Net cash used in operating activities ($M)$(29.1) $(37.3)
Capex ($M)$6.2 (Q1) $15.4 (H1)

Guidance Changes

The company did not issue quantitative revenue/EPS guidance. Key project and strategic updates versus prior communications are below.

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance/StatusCurrent Guidance/StatusChange
DOE Loan (up to $375M)2024Working toward closing conditional commitment Progressing toward definitive documentation; additional financing required for base equity before drawdown Maintained path (process ongoing)
Rochester Hub – Total Project Cost (MHP scope)Multi‑year~ $960M ~ $960M unchanged Maintained
Rochester Hub – Cost to Complete (MHP)2024+~ $504M estimate incl. cash spend to 3/31/24 ~ $490M after local‑market refinement Lowered
Spoke Network Footprint2024Ontario Spoke paused since Nov-2023 Transitioning Ontario Spoke to closure; prioritize Gen‑3 Spokes Rationalized footprint

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 and Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
DOE Loan/FinancingContinued work on $375M DOE loan; Glencore $75M convertible to bolster liquidity (Q1) Step 5 of DOE process; advancing definitive documentation; needs additional financing for base equity prior to draw Steady progress; financing need explicit
Rochester Hub (MHP scope)Confirmed MHP viability; refining costs with local market (Q1) MHP technical work “quite advanced”; cost to complete ~ $490M; total cost ~ $960M unchanged Technical clarity improving; cost discipline
Spoke Strategy/ThroughputPrioritizing Gen‑3 Spokes; slowed throughput in parts of network (Q1) Ontario Spoke to close; Germany Spoke ISO certifications; throughput optimization focus Optimization, quality systems progress
Commercial/FeedstockSigned/expanded agreements with major EV OEMs; growing EU footprint (Q1) Four of top five Q2 customers are large EV OEMs; ~40% feedstock EV packs; widened EU footprint Broadening OEM ties, more EV packs
Macro/CommoditiesAcknowledged commodity price pressure (Q1) Management views project accretive “even at current prices”; DOE uses conservative decks for debt underwriting Balanced outlook; sensitivity managed
Policy/LocalizationIRA/tariffs supportive backdrop referenced (Q1 FY) Emphasized localization tailwinds in U.S./EU; potential tariffs supportive Policy support reinforced

Management Commentary

  • “Closing the U.S. DOE loan remains our top priority. We continue to work closely with the DOE... to advance towards definitive financing documentation and satisfying conditions precedent for loan disbursements.” — Ajay Kochhar, CEO .
  • “We refined the cost estimates... our current estimated cost to complete the Rochester Hub project is substantially similar at approximately $490 million for the MHP scope... [and] the total project cost estimate... remains the same at approximately $960 million.” — Ajay Kochhar .
  • “During the quarter, our Spokes produced approximately 1,394 tons of black mass... EV battery packs represented approximately 40% of total battery materials processed... Germany Spoke secured ISO certifications.” — Ajay Kochhar .
  • “Highlights include record quarterly revenue and lower SG&A... Total revenue increased 133% to $8.4 million... SG&A decreased 39% to $15.3 million.” — Craig Cunningham, CFO .
  • “As of June 30, 2024, Li‑Cycle has cash and cash equivalents of $57 million... mainly due to higher working capital and investing activities.” — Craig Cunningham .

Q&A Highlights

  • Rochester review and commodity price sensitivity: Management separated technical and financial tracks; with refined CapEx estimates and DOE as cornerstone, they still see the basket economics as accretive “even at current prices” for nickel, cobalt and lithium .
  • DOE underwriting price deck: DOE uses conservative, debt‑appropriate commodity assumptions rather than bullish equity decks; specifics not disclosed, but management acknowledged the framework .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our S&P Global tool mapping for LICY at the time of analysis, so we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus. Values would normally be retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity is the near‑term swing factor: cash fell to $57.0M with Q2 operating burn of $(37.3)M; ATM ($75M capacity) and strategic alternatives provide options, but DOE loan closing and required base equity are gating items .
  • Operating traction is improving: record revenue, rising service revenue contribution, and lower SG&A signal better operating leverage once scale improves; unit costs remain elevated relative to revenue base .
  • Rochester Hub is the cornerstone: total project cost steady at ~$960M and cost‑to‑complete refined to ~$490M; definitive DOE documentation and capital stack clarity are potential catalysts for re‑rating .
  • Focused network strategy: closing Ontario Spoke and prioritizing Gen‑3 Spokes with EV pack processing should support throughput, customer value, and potentially unit economics over time .
  • Customer/market positioning: deepening relationships with large EV OEMs and growing EU footprint support medium‑term volume visibility; policy localization trends (IRA, EU) are tailwinds .
  • Trading setup: headlines on DOE loan execution, liquidity actions (ATM usage or strategic financing), and additional customer wins are likely to drive near‑term stock moves; watch Q3 operational/financing updates .

Citations

  • Q2 2024 press release and financials:
  • Q2 2024 earnings call transcript:
  • Q1 2024 press release & transcript:
  • FY 2023 press release:
  • Other relevant Q2 2024 releases: Share consolidation (1‑for‑8) ; ATM program up to $75M